[转发者]:2016年4月1日,经济学人封面使用了如下图片。当日经济学人网站就被被墙了。
BBC中文网中文概括
http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/china/2016/04/160401_economist_xijinping
英国《经济学人》期刊在最新发表的文章中分析了中国出现的对习近平的个人崇拜,认为他推行的高压政策以及强化自己权力的做法并不能给他带来安全,也不能帮助稳定中国。
文章在开头提到中国最近发生的疫苗丑闻,指出习近平的反腐运动其实关系不到普通百姓,因为他们的生活以及健康仍然受到腐败影响。
文章还提到中国精英阶层也不满习近平,比如官方媒体公开抱怨对新闻报道的限制,还有一位知名富翁在微博上攻击他以及一名高级编辑愤而辞职等等。
自毛泽东之后,习近平大揽权力,超过任何其他领袖。文章说,在他上台后的三年半中,习近平以惊人的速度为自己取得各种头衔。中共的“集体”领导做法被抛弃。文章引述一位分析人士说,习近平现在是“全面主席”(Chairman of Everything)。
另一场文革?
毛泽东的暴君性格和喜爱崇拜把中国推入文革的狂热和暴力中。《经济学人》认为,习近平不会成为毛,也没有迹象显示中国到了另一场文革的边缘。
但是文章认为,习近平推行的高压政策和强化自己权力的做法并没有给他带来安全,也不能帮助稳定中国。
在反腐问题上,文章说,习近平用中共自己的地痞式调查员来对付腐败,而这些人感兴趣的是清算政敌,而不是公平执法。
习近平压制新闻媒体,也使记者不敢揭露腐败。文章把疫苗事件当作例子,指出丑闻一年前就被发现,但是到现在才曝光,这对党和习近平的信誉影响更大。
文章也认为习近平的外交政策也在国际上引起焦虑,比如他在南中国海咄咄逼人,反而把亚洲许多国家推到了美国的阵营。
习近平刚上台时,人们还以为他站稳脚跟后就会推行他希望的改革。文章说,但是现在这种希望越来越淡薄了。让党遵守法律,关闭亏损的国有企业或者推进急需的社会变革比如在城市中取消对农民工的限制,这些都是很棘手的政治问题。文章说,看来习近平没有时间顾及这些事情 -- 因为维持权力占了他的全部时间。
《经济学人》的文章说,中共统治中国66年,最麻烦的时期通常都发生在精英阶层内部爆发争执。文章说,习近平的统治风格只会在这个问题上火上浇油,他越用恐吓和打压的办法对付敌人,就会制造更多敌人。
Beware the cult of Xi
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21695881-xi-jinping-stronger-his-predecessors-his-power-damaging-country-beware-cult“IF OUR party can’t even handle food-safety issues properly, and keeps on mishandling them, then people will ask whether we are fit to keep ruling China.” So Xi Jinping warned officials in 2013, a year after he became the country’s leader. It was a remarkable statement for the chief of a Communist Party that has always claimed to have the backing of “the people”. It suggested that Mr Xi understood how grievances about official incompetence and corruption risked boiling over. Mr Xi rounded up tens of thousands of erring officials, waging a war on corruption of an intensity not seen since the party came to power in 1949. Many thought he was right to do so.
Today, however, China is enduring its biggest public-health scandal in years. Tens of millions of dollars-worth of black-market, out-of-date and improperly stored vaccines have been sold to government health centres, which have in turn been making money by selling them to patients.
In this section
Beware the cult of Xi
Open argument
Don’t clear the clearers
The hard choice for Pakistan
A hard Dutch kick
Reprints
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Asia
China
Mr Xi’s anti-graft war has often made little difference to ordinary people. Their life—and health—is still blighted by corruption. In recent days there have also been signs of discontent with Mr Xi among the elite: official media complaining openly about reporting restrictions, a prominent businessman attacking him on his microblog, a senior editor resigning in disgust.
Mr Xi has acquired more power than any Chinese leader since Mao Zedong. It was supposed to let him get things done. What is going wrong?
Credibility gap
In fairness, Mr Xi was bound to meet with hostility. Many officials are angry because he has ripped up the compact by which they have operated and which said that they could line their pockets, so long as corruption was not flagrant and they did their job well.
But Mr Xi has also found that the pursuit of power is all-consuming: it does not leave room for much else. In three and a half years in charge, he has accumulated titles at an astonishing pace. He is not only party leader, head of state and commander-in-chief, but is also running reform, the security services and the economy. In effect, the party’s hallowed notion of “collective” leadership (see article) has been jettisoned. Mr Xi is, one analyst says, “Chairman of Everything”.
At the same time, he has flouted the party’s ban on personality cults, introduced in 1982 to prevent another episode of Maoist madness. Official media are filled with fawning over “Uncle Xi” and his wife, Peng Liyuan, a folk-singer whom flatterers call “Mama Peng”. A video, released in March, of a dance called “Uncle Xi in love with Mama Peng” has already been viewed over 300,000 times. There have been rumours recently that Mr Xi feels some of this has been going a bit far. Some of the most toadying videos, such as “The east is red again” (comparing Mr Xi to Mao), have been scrubbed from the internet.
Many would take that as a sign that the personality cult is little more than harmless fun. Mr Xi is no Mao, whose tyrannical nature and love of adulation were so great that he blithely led the country into the frenzy and violence of the Cultural Revolution. Although some older Chinese squirm at a style of politics so reminiscent of days long past, there is no suggestion that China is on the brink of another such horror.
But Mr Xi does not need to be as extreme as Mao for his concentration of power to cause harm. He has been fighting dissent with even more ruthlessness than he has been waging war on graft. Not since the dark days after the Tiananmen Square protests in 1989 has there been such a sweeping crackdown on critics of the party. Internet censors have been busy deleting messages posted on social media by outraged citizens in response to the vaccine scandal. These have included posts reminding Mr Xi of his words in 2013 about the party’s fitness to rule. Police have also been investigating the appearance early in March of an anonymous letter on a government-affiliated website calling on Mr Xi to resign (raising, among several transgressions, the personality cult and his stifling of the media). Some 20 people have been arrested. Yet this work is never-ending. Even now citizens are pushing back. With the help of the internet, no matter how heavily it is blocked and censored, their voices keep crying out.
No liberal, Xi
By cracking down and puffing himself up, Mr Xi is neither buying himself security nor helping to keep China stable. He is using the party’s own thuggish investigators to take on graft. But they have a greater interest in settling political scores than in ensuring laws are applied fairly. That gets in the way of good administration, if only because officials are scared of spending money in case it attracts a probe. By cowing the media, Mr Xi created a press reluctant to challenge officials by exposing the dodgy-vaccine trade as soon as it was discovered at least a year ago. By the time such scandals eventually come to light, they pose even greater threats to the party’s, and Mr Xi’s, credibility.
Mr Xi has pledged to give market forces a “decisive role”, and put “power in a cage” by establishing the rule of law. But he is providing neither the country with prosperity and freedom, nor reassuring the rest of the world with stability. Abroad, anxieties about him keep growing: his muscular efforts to assert control in the South China Sea have been driving countries across Asia closer to the American camp.
Earlier in Mr Xi’s rule, observers had wondered whether, after establishing himself, he would turn to carrying out the reforms that he says he wants. But hopes are fading that a big reformist push will ever materialise. Mr Xi appears to have little time for the politically irksome business of making the party follow the law, closing down loss-making state-owned firms, or bringing about much-needed social changes, such as scrapping restrictions on access by rural migrants to urban public services. The task of preserving his power is a full-time job.
In the past 66 years of Communist rule in China, the most troubled times have usually come about when tensions break out within the elite. Mr Xi’s style of rule is only serving to stoke them. The more Mr Xi tries to fight off enemies using scare tactics and brute force, the more enemies he is likely to make.
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